September Market Update: Rates, Tariffs, and Retirement Strategies
As summer winds down and fall begins, questions around interest rates, tariffs, and market direction remain front and center.
๐ฅ Watch this monthโs Mattโs Minutes video here (full transcript below).
โฑ Video Highlights
Want to jump to a specific part of this monthโs update? Here are the key sections:
- 0:20 โ Tariffs and interest rate headlines from August
- 0:36 โ What lower interest rates could mean for borrowing costs
- 1:17 โ Recap of โThe Tale of Three Marketsโ
- 1:37 โ Comparing buy-and-hold and safety net strategies
- 1:50 โ Why your comfort with risk matters most
In August, markets stayed relatively steady, but the Federal Reserve has signaled the possibility of lowering rates before yearโs end. If that happens, borrowing costs โ from mortgages to car loans โ could ease. While this can provide short-term relief, itโs not always the best long-term answer for the economy.
Revisiting the โTale of Three Marketsโ
In a recent Mattโs Minutes, we shared the โTale of Three Marketsโ โ what happens during rising, falling, and V-shaped markets. Alongside that, we compared two common investment approaches:
- Buy-and-hold strategies, which can work well in stable periods.
- Approaches with safety nets, designed to help soften losses during sharp downturns that often appear every few years.
Neither approach is perfect, and the right balance depends on your comfort with risk and your long-term retirement goals.
Why This Matters for Retirement Planning
For those retired โ or preparing to retire soon โ these decisions arenโt just about investments. They connect directly to income, lifestyle, and peace of mind.
At Richmond Brothers, our purpose is to help you live fearlessly into and beyond retirement. That means keeping you informed, providing context, and helping you feel confident no matter what the markets may bring.
๐ Want to learn more? Watch the full Mattโs Minutes video above or connect with our team.
๐ Call us at 517-435-4040 or email questions@richmondbrothers.com.
Full Transcript of Video
Prefer to read instead of watch? Hereโs the full transcript from Mattโs Minutes.
Hi everyone, this is Matt Curfman and Oliver here with a Mattโs Minutes edition, recording in early September just after Labor Day โ kind of reviewing a little of the month of August.
We just want to reach out. This is going to be a fairly short video, as there wasnโt a lot of extreme movement in August as far as headlines. I think the continual questions are: What is happening with tariffs? What is happening with interest rates in general? And what is the Fed going to do about it?
There is general consensus that sometime in the fall โ the last four months of 2025 โ the Fed could start to lower rates. In general, I think that would be received well by the markets. What it means is that as rates come down from the Fed, it trickles back to other things in the economy โ meaning mortgage rates would be lower, car loan rates would be lower. So lower interest rates make borrowing money and living a little cheaper.
That doesnโt necessarily mean itโs good long-term; it just is what it is. Thatโs probably the biggest theme I would say as far as how it ties to your investments, your retirement, and your portfolios.
Iโd also like to refer back to the most recent video I did, which was The Tale of Three Markets. In that video, I talked through what happens in a rising market, what happens in a falling or declining market, and what happens in a V-shaped market. Then I paralleled that to two different types of strategies:
- One is the traditional buy-and-hold.
- The other is having some safety nets to avoid extreme downside, which can happen once every three to five years.
In the three- to five-year period until that happens, it feels like we should always be in buy-and-hold. But when we do hit one of those extreme downsides, for whatever reason, thatโs when everyone says, โOoh, I wish I would have had those safety nets.โ
Neither path is perfect. Weโre here to help you on both sides โ and also help you solve for whatever you feel comfortable with, with respect to your risk tolerance.
So, stay in touch. Please let us know if you have any questions โ specifically at questions@richmondbrothers.com.
Weโre here to help educate, inform, and guide you through your retirement years โ and to your retirement years if youโre not yet retired โ no matter what the world or the market throws our way.
Thanks for tuning in, and thanks for being part of Richmond Brothers.
Sources:
Research Reports
Please note: Any market index referenced is unmanaged, does not reflect the impact of fees and other expenses and is unable to be invested in.
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